The Indiana Pacers hold
the 23rd and 53rd overall picks in Thursday’s NBA Draft. With second unit
players D.J. Augustin and Tyler Hansbrough unlikely to come back, the two
primary areas of concern are at the point guard and power forward position.
Another major area of concern is the Pacers' second unit scoring abilities,
which has failed miserably at times over the past season. In such a weak draft
class, there is not a substantial drop off in talent between players selected
in the later parts of the first round and those picked in the second round.
With two picks, each in the later part of the round, Indiana has a wide range
of possibilities. Indiana worked out 36 total prospects over seven workout
sessions leading up to the draft. In looking at the Pacers’ draft options, I
took each pick and broke it down into the three areas of concern: point guard,
power forward, and wing scorer/shooter. Each player profile provides the basic
measurements and per game statistics, realistic pre-draft projection, and my
thoughts on how this player would work in the Pacers’ rotation.
Nate Wolters South Dakota State – Guard
Height 6’4” Weight 190 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Asts 22.3/5.6/5.8
Projection: Late First Round/Early Second Round
The 2013 Summit League Player of the Year has proven he can
score the ball, but at a lesser level than most of the players listed below.
The level of play Wolters’ consistently faced over his four years at South
Dakota State make it hard to truly evaluate his NBA potential. Although he has
great size for an NBA point guard, he lacks in other physical tools, such as
wingspan (6’3”), strength, and explosiveness. On the defensive end he shows a
tremendous understanding of defensive principles, but his subpar athleticism
hinders his abilities. I’m not sure how this would translate to Frank Vogel’s
system, as it would be much more difficult to improve a player’s athleticism
rather than teach him defensive techniques. As for the offensive end, Wolters
would be a great fit in Pacer blue and gold. He has a tremendous scoring
ability and possesses great NBA range. Overall, Wolters is an intriguing
prospect for the Pacers. If his scoring can translate to the next level, he
will be a great fit in Indiana’s second unit.
Erick Green Virginia Tech – Guard
Height 6’3” Weight 180 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Asts 25.0/4.0/3.8
Projection: Late First Round/Early Second Round
Coming off a terrific senior
season at Virginia Tech, in which he was named the 2013 ACC Player of the Year,
Erick Green’s stock is on the rise across NBA draft big boards. Green is a
natural scorer who is not afraid to points on the board. A majority of his
shots are off the dribble, due to his superior ball-handling abilities.
Although he has proven to be a solid spot-up shooter, he struggles in attacking
the rim. His lack of superior size and strength may deter from his defensive
abilities at the next level. Although Green did not work out for the Pacers, I
think he would fit in nice with Indiana’s second unit. Donnie Walsh is keen on
adding another scorer this offseason, and Green may very well be that guy.
Peyton Siva
Louisville – Guard
Height 6’1” Weight 180 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Asts 10.0/2.4/5.7
Projection: Late Second Round
After an
incredible senior season in which he led his Louisville Cardinals to the 2013
NCCA Championship, Peyton Siva will look to transfer his accomplishments to the
NBA hardwood. Much of Siva’s game revolves around his excellent athleticism. On
top of a 41.5” vertical leap, Siva has NBA level quickness. He utilizes these
attributes on the defensive end, constantly pressuring opposing guards. His
lack of size may be a problem when encountering bigger guards in the NBA. On
offense, Siva is a proven distributer of the basketball. But his sometimes
lackluster shooting abilities and shot selection detract from his overall
offensive abilities. Despite this, his defensive abilities would make him a
great fit in Vogel’s system. If the Pacers were to add a scoring guard in the
first round, Siva would be a great fit to run the show for the second unit.
Matthew Dellavedova St. Mary’s – Guard
Height 6’4” Weight 190 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Asts 15.8/3.4/6.4
Projection: Late Second Round
At 6’4”, Dellavedova has
great size for an NBA point guard. However, he lacks in length and overall
athleticism. He makes up for his lack of athleticism with a tremendous
basketball IQ and versatile skillset. He is a gifted and unselfish passer.
However, he is more than a distributor, as he is the all-time leading scorer
(and assister) in St. Mary’s history. A quick release allows him to get many
shots off around the perimeter and in the mid-range area. However, he struggles
to finish at the rim through contact and over bigger defenders. While
Dellavedova has his flaws, I think he would be a great pick up in the second
round. The second unit would benefit from a player who can both pass and score
efficiently.
Tony Mitchell North Texas – Forward
Height 6’9” Weight 240 lbs Class Sophomore Pts/Rebs/Blks 13.0/8.5/2.7
Projection: Middle to Late First Round
After a great freshman season at North Texas, Mitchell’s
production took a step back in his sophomore year. His selling point for NBA
teams continues to be his elite physical tools. With a 7’3” wingspan and
incredible athleticism, Mitchell is a force in the paint. Much of his
regression occurred on the defensive end, where he moves poorly without the
ball. A large percentage of his shots are jump shots outside of the lane. He
rarely puts effort into posting up defenders on the block, where he has an
athletic advantage. His dribble-drive abilities are very raw as well. He is a good, but not great, rebounder. And
his physical tools help him on the defensive end to alter opponents’ shots. Due
to his limited abilities on the defensive end, the Pacers would have to add a
scorer in order to draft Mitchell. For defensive purposes, he would be an
excellent fit in Indiana.
Kelly Olynyk Gonzaga – Forward
Height 7’0” Weight 230 lbs Class Junior Pts/Rebs/Blks 18.1/4.8/1.1
Projection: First Round
Kelly Olynyk had a break out
year for the Gonzaga Bulldogs this past season. After redshirting due to Robert
Sacre’s presence in the rotation, Olynyk showed significant improvement in his
basketball abilities. He has proven to be an elite scorer in the post and all
the way out to three-point range. Olynyk would do most of his damage for the
Pacers acting as a stretch four, allowing for increased dribble-drive
penetration from the guard position. There is only a small chance that Olynyk
will drop all the way to the 23rd pick. But if he does, Indiana will have to
consider drafting the big man.
Deshaun Thomas Ohio State – Forward
Height 6’7” Weight 220 lbs Class Junior Pts/Rebs/Asts 19.8/5.9/1.3
Projection: Second Round
As the leading scorer in
undoubtedly the toughest conference in college basketball last season (Big
Ten), Deshaun Thomas has proven his scoring abilities. He has tremendous range
and has proven to do most of his offensive damage with his jump shot. He is the
most effective in catch and shoot scenarios, but has shown improvement in
dribble-drive and one-on-one situations. However, he faces his struggles on the
defensive end at the next level. With an undersized body, Thomas will face
difficulty guarding larger players at the forward position. In addition, he has
showed minimal effort on the defense in the past. Although Thomas is a great
offensive threat, and it would be nice to see a local product join the Pacers,
he would be a poor fit defensively. Unless the coaching staff wants to take on
the task of teaching Thomas on the defensive end, he is an unlikely draft
choice for Indiana.
Kenny Kadji Miami (FL.) – Forward
Height 6’10” Weight
240 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Blks 12.9/6.8/1.3
Projection: Late Second Round/Undrafted
As one of the most versatile
players in college basketball last season, Kenny Kadji knows how to score the
basketball. Standing at 6’10” Kadji is an intimidating force in the post. But
with a smooth jump shot and soft touch, he is a terrific mid-range and three
point shooter. Kadji’s ability to stretch the floor and hit outside shots off
the pick-and-roll would work miracles within the Pacers second unit offense. On
defense, Kadji’s lack of great athleticism limits his mobility against quicker
forwards. But with his length and elite strength, Kadji is apt at blocking
shots and holding his own down low. Although all signs point to a promising NBA
career, his age will be a factor in his draft process. At 25 years old, Kadji
is three to seven years older than most of his peers in the draft. Still, I
think Kenny Kadji would fit in well with the Pacers, as he will stretch the
floor on offense and help protect the rim on the defensive end.
Christian Watford Indiana – Forward
Height 6’9” Weight 230 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Asts 22.3/6.3/0.9
Projection: Late Second Round/Undrafted
At this point in his career,
Christian Watford has well-developed strengths and weaknesses. He has adequate
size and basketball knowledge for an NBA power forward. Watford’s biggest
strength is his spot-up shooting ability from the perimeter, which has improved
dramatically over the past four years. Outside of his shooting, he struggles to
add much of anything else on the offensive end. This has been evident
throughout his career at Indiana, where he would all but disappear on the
offensive end at times. On defense, he will be a liability against larger
defenders. In the past, his defensive capabilities have been inconsistent. To
be drafted by Indiana, the Pacers will have to see clear-cut dividends from his
shooting ability to make up for lackluster defense.
Erik Murphy Florida – Forward
Height 6’9” Weight 240 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Asts 12.2/5.5/1.4
Projection: Late Second Round/Undrafted
Erik Murphy improved
dramatically between his junior and senior seasons at the University of
Florida. In the offseason he focused on building upper and lower body strength
and it certainly paid off for Murphy during the season. His added size and
strength allowed for increased post efficiency. He has matured into a deadly
three point threat. Murphy’s skills will allow him to play the role of a
stretch floor at the next level, spacing the floor and allowing for
dribble-drive penetration. On defense, his added strength has allowed him to
mature into a very solid post defender. However, he still posts poor defensive
rebounding numbers, just 3.3 per game, for a man his size. With his skillset, I
can see him maturing into the type of player like Matt Bonner, another Florida
alum. Although he did not work out with the Pacers, I think he would be a great
fit in the second unit.
Tony Snell New Mexico – Guard/Forward
Height 6’7” Weight 200 lbs Class Junior Pts/Rebs/Asts 12.5/2.6/2.9
Projection: Late First Round/Early Second Round
With a 6’7” frame and 7’0”
wingspan, Snell will only need to add strength to be an athletically-gifted
wing in the NBA. His offensive game hinges on his tremendous three-point
shooting ability. However, Snell very well has the ability to put the ball on
the floor and finish at the rim. However, he will have to increase his
ball-handling abilities if he wants to consistently penetrate the lane at the
NBA level. He would be a great catch-and-shoot player in the Pacers’ second
unit. He has all the physical tools to be an apt defender in the Association.
If he makes the commitment to focus on defense, it will be cement his place on
an NBA roster. Indiana has worked out Snell and he will surely be a target on
Thursday night.
Reggie Bullock North Carolina – Guard/Forward
Height 6’7” Weight 205 lbs Class Junior Pts/Rebs/Asts 13.9/6.5/2.9
Projection: Middle to Late First Round
Bullock’s main attraction to
any NBA team is his ability to stretch the floor and knock down open jumpers. On
offense, he has also shown improved abilities in transition and a knack for
pulling down offensive rebounds. Bullock always seems to be in the right place
at the right time. Standing at 6’7” with a 6’10” Bullock has great size for an
NBA small forward, which makes up for his subpar athleticism. On the defensive
end he is a more than capable defender due to his size and competitiveness.
Although his ceiling may not be the highest out of prospects around him, he
will be a solid role player in the NBA. The Pacers could use a player like
Bullock to defend and hit open shots for the second unit.
Tim Hardaway Jr. Michigan – Guard
Height 6’6” Weight 200 lbs Class Junior Pts/Rebs/Asts 13.9/3.8/1.7
Projection: Middle to Late First Round
Tim Hardaway Jr. struggled
at times over the past season to score the ball, as he faced a miserable
shooting slump for much of the regular season. Even so, there’s no discounting his
overall talent. He can stretch the floor, get out on the fast break, and put
the ball on the floor consistently. Hardaway Jr. will be a good spot-up shooter
at the next level, and that will be his selling point to many NBA teams.
Defensively, he has all the tools to be an effective NBA defender. While his
lack of great size will prevent him from creating many turnovers, his overall
athleticism will make him a capable defender. He has been mocked to the Pacers in
many mock drafts across the internet, and it could turn into a reality on
Thursday. Hardaway Jr. would be a great fit on the Pacers’ bench.
Jamaal Franklin San Diego State – Guard
Height 6’5” Weight 190 lbs Class Senior Pts/Rebs/Asts 17.0/9.5/3.3
Projection: Middle to
Late First Round
Pretty much a do-it-all player in college at San Diego State, Jamaal Franklin projects to be a shooting guard in the NBA. He is extrememly versatile, leading the team in scoring, assists, rebounds, and steals per game. His biggest attribute is his high motor, which is evident on both ends of the court. On offense, Franklin is always in attack mode, using his quick first step to get to the rim. However, he lacks an elite jump shot, unlike most of the other guards listed. He is a great rebounder for a guard, evident by his 9.5 rebounds per game last year. He also possesses great potential on the defensive end, as his toughness and athleticism will allow for him to guard multiple positions. Overall, Franklin is a great prospect. Plus, the dude wears long sleeves under his jersey. He would be a great fit in Pacer blue and gold, but I doubt he falls all the way to number 23.
Pretty much a do-it-all player in college at San Diego State, Jamaal Franklin projects to be a shooting guard in the NBA. He is extrememly versatile, leading the team in scoring, assists, rebounds, and steals per game. His biggest attribute is his high motor, which is evident on both ends of the court. On offense, Franklin is always in attack mode, using his quick first step to get to the rim. However, he lacks an elite jump shot, unlike most of the other guards listed. He is a great rebounder for a guard, evident by his 9.5 rebounds per game last year. He also possesses great potential on the defensive end, as his toughness and athleticism will allow for him to guard multiple positions. Overall, Franklin is a great prospect. Plus, the dude wears long sleeves under his jersey. He would be a great fit in Pacer blue and gold, but I doubt he falls all the way to number 23.
Glen Rice Jr. Georgia Tech/Rio Grande Valley
Vipers – Guard
Height 6’4” Weight 190 lbs Class NBDL Pts/Rebs/Asts 13.0/6.2/1.9
Projection: Late First Round/Early Second Round
After an incredible second
half of the NBA D-League season, Glen Rice Jr. will be drafted by some team
into the NBA. He is a tremendous three point shooter and has proven over the
last year that he can store efficiently at a high level. However, he has room
to improve on his ball handling and dribble-drive abilities. He has matured
into a solid defender after facing NBA-like level talent for the past year. His
playing style would mesh perfectly into the Pacers’ second unit, but there are
some questions surrounding his off-the-court issues. After being kicked off the
Georgia Tech team, his maturity level may be an issue.
Allen Crabbe Colorado – Guard
Height 6’4” Weight 190 lbs Class Junior Pts/Rebs/Asts 18.4/6.1/2.6
Projection: Middle to Late First Round
While Crabbe did not work out with the Pacers, he
would be a great role player to come off the bench and score for the second
unit. His primary asset is his shooting stroke, which may be the purest in this
year’s class behind Ben McLemore. His jump shot alone will help him find a spot
within an NBA rotation. However, he lacks in his abilities in putting the ball
on the floor and attacking the rim. He has the physical tools to defend in the
NBA, although some added strength would be nice. Overall, Crabbe would be a
great player in the Pacers’ rotation. He is one of my personal favorite
prospects in this year’s class, and possibly one of the draft’s biggest sleeper
picks.
Prediction: The
Pacers will bite on the sure talent of one of the many scoring wings that will
be available with the 23rd pick. There is just simply too much talent and guaranteed
scoring available. Although players like Allen Crabbe and Jamaal Franklin may
be gone by then, Indiana will still have a range of possibilities with the 23rd
pick. The front office will decide between Tony Snell, Reggie Bullock, and Tim Hardaway
Jr. At this point, there is no telling which player is favored by the Pacers.
After selecting a scoring guard in the first round, the team will look to
select a backup point guard or power forward with the 53rd pick. As of now, the
players they are most likely deciding between are Matthew Dellavedova, Peyton
Siva, and Kenny Kadji. The Pacers go small and select between Dellavedova and
Siva to fill the void at backup point guard. Ultimately, nothing is set in
stone, as the Pacers are rumored to be considering a number of trades that could
change the team’s needs come Thursday.
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